Assessment of the Sustainability of Government Debt in A Stochastic Economy

Aura Drakšaitė

Abstract


Recent abrupt increase of government debt and significant damage to the economy of the most countries in the worlds revealed the lack of efficient techniques to prevent the outcomes of economic recession caused by the stochastic changes of the economy. Therefore it is important to revise the process of assessment of government debt sustainability, taking the stochastic approach as the background for the projections of future extent of the government debt. The aim of the paper is to indicate the specific features of assessment of the sustainability of government debt in stochastic economy. The main finding of the paper is that assessment of government debt sustainability in stochastic economy requires focusing on the analysis of the contingency of economy. JEL classification: B41, F34, H63, H68, H74. Keywords: debt assessment, government debt, debt sustainability, stochastic economy, sustainable economy.

Keywords


debt assessment; government debt; debt sustainability; stochastic economy; sustainable economy

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"Intellectual Economics" ISSN online 1822-8038 / ISSN print 1822-8011